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such a model is introduced. The insertion of evidence represented by the observed value and its propagation throughout the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010586226
We investigate a test of equal predictive ability delineated in Giacomini and White (2006; Econometrica). In contrast to a claim made in the paper, we show that their test statistic need not be asymptotically Normal when a fixed window of observations is used to estimate model parameters. An example...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012064875
In this note we provide simulation evidence on the size and power of tests of predictive ability described in Giacomini … tests and provide evidence that very large bandwidths are sometimes required when estimating long-run variances …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011998061
methods for evaluating conditional forecasts. This paper provides analytical, Monte Carlo, and empirical evidence on tests of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010938567
We develop methods for testing whether, in a finite sample, forecasts from nested models are equally accurate. Most prior work has focused on a null of equal accuracy in population — basically, whether the additional coefficients of the larger model are zero. Our asymptotic approximation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011209274
Hypothesis testing is widely regarded as an essential part of statistics, but it s use in research has led to considerable controversy in a number of disciplines, especially psychology, with a number of commentators suggesting it should not be used at all. A root cause of this controversy was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005149047
At least since [1], a broad class of multiple comparison procedures, so-called simultaneous test procedures (STPs), is established in the statistical literature. Elements of an STP are a testing family, consisting of a set of null hypotheses and corresponding test statistics, and a common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010607144
effects; (iv) only for logit models does not affect substantially the prediction of outcomes; and (v) is innocuous for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999124
methods for evaluating conditional forecasts. This paper provides analytical,Monte Carlo, and empirical evidence on tests of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114900
In this paper, we discuss the importance of sample size in the evaluation of minimum wage effects. We first show which sample sizes are necessary to make reliable statements about the effects of minimum wages on binary outcomes, and second how to determine these sample sizes. This is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011921956