We analyze a market populated by expected utility maximizers and smooth ambiguity-averse consumers. We study conditions under which ambiguity-averse consumers survive and affect prices in the limit. If ambiguity vanishes with time or if the economy exhibits no aggregate risk, ambiguity-averse...

A predictive regression for y(t) and a time series representation of the predictors, x(t), together imply a univariate reduced form for y(t). In this paper we work backwards, and ask: if we observe y(t), what do its univariate properties tell us about any x(t) in the "predictive space"...

France and the UK face similar geostrategic circumstances: both were once Great Powers and still retain their positions among the five permanent members of the UN Security Council. During the Cold War both were dwarfed by the super-powers and were thus extremely sensitive about their status:...

The paper examines the robustness of the size and power properties of the standard non-linearity tests under different conditions such as moment failure and asymmetry of innovations. Our results reveal the following. First, there seems not to be a direct link between moment condition failure and...

We examine a popular practitioner methodology used in the construction of linear factor models whereby particular factors are increased/decreased in relative importance within the model. This allows model builders to customise models and, as such, reflect those factors that the client/modeller...

In 1997 the new Labour government launched major initiatives in the area of financial regulation, setting up the Financial Services Authority as a comprehensive regulatory body, supported by the legislative framework of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. We evaluate the Labour...

This paper contributes to a recent debate about the structural and institutional conditions under which discretion may be superior to timeless perspective. We show this is unlikely when the policy maker relies on a welfare-theoretic loss function obtained as a second-order approximation of...

Costly information acquisition is introduced into a dynamic trading model of Glosten and Milgrom (1985). The market maker and some traders, called "value traders," value the asset at its fundamental value, which can be either high or low. The remaining traders, called "liquidity traders," have...

This paper investigates two elements of agency costs, namely the wealth-transfer and the value destruction problems, associated with the equity-conversion and writedown CoCo bonds. By focusing on the costs as those stemming from the deviation from absolute priority rule (DAPR), we derive the...

We analyze the incumbency effect on a candidate’s electoral prospects using a large data set on Italian municipal elections held from 1993 to 2011. We apply a non-parametric Sharp Regression Discontinuity Design that compares candidates who barely win an election to those who barely lose,...