This paper is aimed at studying the effects of the exchange-rate variations on the budget deficit. To do this, the available deterministic models of budget deficit are extended by assuming that the movements of the exchange rate are driven by stochastic processes, and that the extreme and sudden...

This research develops a stochastic model of the consumer's decision making under an environment of risk and uncertainty. In the proposed model agents perceive that a mixed diffusionjump process drives the exchange rate depreciation and a diffusion process governs the real interest rate, these...

This research develops a stochastic model of the consumer's decision making under an environment of risk and uncertainty. In the proposed model agents perceive that a mixed diffusionjump process drives the exchange rate depreciation and a diffusion process governs the real interest rate, these...

This paper is aimed to provide a consistent theoretical framework for the decision making process of a consumer-investor in an environment of risk and uncertainty with constant volatility. In this research, the Wiener and Poisson processes play an essential role in modeling market risk and...

The relationships among the Mexico EMBI+ and local and foreign risk factors are examined in this paper. The long run relationships and the dynamics are analyzed taking in account the effects of economic slowdowns into the period of the study. Also the volatilities of EMBI+, domestic interest...

This paper is aimed in analyzing the impact of the growing use of contingent claims in the objectives of monetary policy. To reach this end, a continuous time, stochastic model of macroeconomic equilibrium of a monetary economy where the agents are exposed to the risk market is developed. In the...

This paper identifies the determinants that affect the probability of deviations from the target interest rate (overnight interbank rate) of Bank of Mexico, through the development of several binary probit models. Among, the determinants of monetary policy decisions of Bank of Mexico several...

Specialized literature states that a deregulated financial system has positive effects on long-term economic growth. The Mexican financial system has gone through two major phases: regulation until 1988 and soon after liberalization. In this framework, by using cointegration and causality tests...

This paper investigates the existence of long memory in the volatility of the Mexican stock market. We use a stochastic volatility (SV) model to derive statistical test for changes in volatility. In this case, estimation is carried out through the Kalman filter (KF) and the improved...

This paper determines the tax rate, withheld by the clearing member, on gains from listed futures that guarantees the same tax revenue as that of the current tax treatment of non-corporate individual investors residents in Mexico. The proposed tax policy reduces costs and improves market...