This paper proposes an adjusted-range based self-normalized tests for changes in correlation coefficient and correlation matrix. Unlike the self-normalization approach proposed by Lobato (2001) and Shao (2010), which relies on the variance of a partial sum process as the self-normalizer, here we...

This study proposes a novel nonparametric estimation approach to solving asset-pricing models. Our method is robust to misspecification errors and it inherits a closed-form solution that facilitates ease of implementation. By transforming the Euler equation, our estimate is fully identified, and...

Numerous studies have been devoted to estimating and testing of moment condition models. Most of the current literature assumes that structural parameters are either fixed or changed abruptly. This paper considers the estimating and testing for smooth structural changes in moment condition...

Structural change is a long-standing problem in time series econometrics and macroeconomics, and financial time series are likely to be affected by structural instability due to changes in preferences, technologies, policies, etc. Most of the existing literature on moment condition models...

The numerous empirical studies on affine term structure models have primarily focused on the in-sample fit of historical bond yields and ignored the out-of-sample forecast of future bond yields. Based on an omnibus nonparametric procedure for density forecast evaluation developed in this paper,...

The current large empirical literature on interest rate modeling typically focuses on the in-sample performance and ignores the out-of-sample performance of existing models. We fill the gap in this literature by providing probably the first comprehensive empirical study (to our knowledge) of the...

It is often documented, based on autocorrelation, variance ratio and power spectrum, that exchange rates approximately follow a martingale process. Because autocorrelation, variance ratio and spectrum check serial uncorrelatedness rather than martingale difference, they may deliver misleading...

We propose two nonparametric specification tests for continuous-time models based on transition density, which unlike the marginal density used in the literature, can capture the full dynamics of a continuous-time process. To improve the finite sample performance of nonparametric methods, we...

Numerous studies have shown that the simple random walk model outperforms all structural and time series models in forecasting the conditional mean of exchange rate changes. However, in many important applications, such as risk management, forecasts of the probability distribution of exchange...

Using the daily data of Chinese 7-day repo rates from January 1, 1997 to December 31, 2008, this paper tests a variety of popular spot rate models, including single-factor diffusion, GARCH, Markov regime-switching and jump-diffusion models. We document that Chinese spot rates are subject to both...