We use a predictable change in the intraday volatility of index futures to identify the effect of stock returns on monetary policy. This identification approach relies on a weaker set of assumptions than required under identification through heteroskedasticity based on lower frequency data. Our...

We identify a novel dimension of monetary policy from high-frequency changes in asset prices around ECB policy events, orthogonal to surprises extracted from risk-free interest rates. We find that it is present in policy events that were interpreted by real-time market commentaries as containing...

Central banks unexpectedly tightening policy rates often observe the exchange value of their currency depreciate, rather than appreciate as predicted by standard models. We document this for Fed and ECB policy days using eventstudies and ask whether an information effect, where the public...

The global financial crisis of 2008-09 (GFC) and the deep accompanying recession created an overarching structural condition of a global and domestic demand shortage. Since then, from a broader policy perspective, there has been a growing call for a revival of the subdued role of the central...

Central banks regularly communicate about financial stability issues, by publishing Financial Stability Reports (FSRs) and through speeches and interviews. The paper asks how such communications affect financial markets. Building a unique dataset, it provides an empirical assessment of the...

Over the past decade, the domestic bond market and specialised financial institutions (SFIs) have played a greater role in financial intermediation in Thailand. The bond market's increasing importance in financial resource allocation is due mainly to a set of policies to promote the financial...

Accommodative global liquidity conditions post-crisis have translated into low domestic borrowing costs and strong domestic credit growth, with household and corporate leverage trending upwards. Bank lending remains the predominant source of financing in Singapore, with cross-border and foreign...

We document a large return drift around monetary policy announcements by the Federal Open Market Committee. Stock returns start drifting up 25 days before expansionary monetary policy surprises, whereas they decrease before contractionary surprises. The cumulative return difference across...

My paper, “Does the Fed control interest rates?” is in the 2013 Review of Asset Pricing Studies (Volume 3, pp. 180-199). The paper finds that the Fed controls the Federal Funds (FF) rate (the overnight rate on interbank borrowing of reserves). Other short-term rates are related to FF, but...

The paper gives an overview over issues concerning the role of financial stability in monetary policy and the relation between banking supervision and central banking. Following a brief account of developments in the European Monetary Union since its creation, the systematic treatment contains...