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The empirical failure of the uncovered interest rate parity condition seems to be the reflection of risk premia on foreign currencies. After the formation of foreign currency portfolios according to interest rate differentials or forward discounts, recent studies suggest that either consumption-...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723275
Temporary fluctuations of the U.S. consumption-wealth ratio, cay, predict excess returns on international stock markets at the business cycle frequency. This finding is the reflection of a common, temporary component in national stock markets. Exposure to this common component explains up to 60...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728531
The decomposition of national CAPM market betas of European countries' value and growth portfolio returns into cashflow and discount rate news driven components reveals that i) high average returns on value portfolios are associated with disproportionately high sensitivity to national cashflow...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012730914
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This working paper evaluates the economic sources of the stock market responses of 40 countries to surprises in the fed funds rate (FFR), the Fed's forward guidance (FG) and large-scale asset purchases (LSAP). We decompose stock market returns into different components reflecting investors'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012609655
We propose and test multifactor models that break the conventional value and momentum factors on the basis of firm size and build separate factors comprised of small stocks, which we call “small-stock value and momentum factors”, and big stocks, which we call “big-stock value and momentum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013062272
We explore the impact of mortgage securitization on the international diversification of macroeconomic risk. By making mortgage-related risks internationally tradeable, securitization contributes considerably to better international consumption risk sharing: we find that countries with the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753242
Momentum in developed countries' stock market index returns can be exploited to form portfolios of excess returns on foreign currencies as relatively high past foreign stock market returns signal a foreign currency appreciation. Two risk factors extracted from the stock index momentum based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012718806
We explore the impact of mortgage securitization on the international diversification of macroeconomic risk. By making mortgage-related risks internationally tradeable, securitization contributes considerably to better international consumption risk sharing: we find that countries with the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012720499