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We consider an economy with two types of firms (innovative and non-innovative) and two types of workers (skilled and unskilled), where workers' decisions are driven by imitative behavior, and thus the evolution of such an economy depends on the initial distribution of the firms. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008581934
Based on the axiomatic framework of Choquet decision theory, we develop a closed-form model of Bayesian learning with ambiguous beliefs about the mean of a normal distribution. In contrast to rational models of Bayesian learning the resulting Choquet Bayesian estimator results in a long-run bias...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011133847
Based on the axiomatic framework of Choquet decision theory, we develop a closed-form model of Bayesian learning with ambiguous beliefs about the mean of a normal distribution. In contrast to rational models of Bayesian learning the resulting Choquet Bayesian estimator results in a long-run bias...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095461
Multi-product firms are modelled as locally interacting entities that gather information on the profitability of product combinations in an environment defined in terms of their currently supplied markets. They learn from their own past play. Local information gathering may slow down convergence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005396172
This paper consider the dynamic evolution of algorithmic (recursive) learning rules in a normal form game. It is shown that the system - the population frequencies - is globally stable for any arbitrary N-player normal form game, if the evolutionary process is algorithmic and the `birth process'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005550961
Consider a society where all agents initially play "fair" and one agent invents a "cheating" strategy such as doping in sports. Which factors determine the success of the new cheating strategy? In order to study this question we consider an evolutionary game with local information. Three factors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005627994
We incorporate information measures representing knowledge into an evolutionary model of coevolving firms and markets whereby the growing orderliness of firms potentiates a predictable progression of market exchange innovations which themselves become beneficial only with the growing orderliness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005118538
Ample psychological evidence suggests that people’s learning behavior is often prone to a "myside bias" or "irrational belief persistence" in contrast to learning behavior exclusively based on objective data. In the context of Bayesian learning such a bias may result in diverging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008563353
En este trabajo se analiza la evolucion de una economia con dos tipos de firmas (innovadoras y no-innovadoras) y dos tipos de trabajadores (altamente calificados y poco calificados), en el que las decisiones de los trabajadores se encuentran definidas por conductas imitativas de comportamiento y...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010897762
Models of rational choice use different definitions of rationality. However, there is no clear description of the latter. We recognize rationality as a conceptual conglomerate where reason, judgment, deliberation, relativity, behavior, experience, and pragmatism interact. Using our definition,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008459808