This paper first documents the recent changing landscape of Thailand's financial sector, noting in particular the decline in bank credit intensity of production. It discusses the reasons behind the observed trend of bank disintermediation and analyzes whether these factors are likely to persist...

This paper looks at the implications of uncertainty in potential output estimation for the conduct of monetary policy. Our findings of potential output and the output gap for Thailand are based on commonly used methods such as the Hodrick-Prescott filter and unobserved component models....

Using growth accounting and econometric estimation methodologies, we investigate Thailand’s growth developments from 1972 to 2007 and project forward Thailand’s supply-side long-term potential growth till 2035. Our analysis is framed in terms of labor productivity and labor market...

This paper presents our forward-looking conjecture of the global macroeconomic and financial environment over the next five years. Among the key unfolding developments we look at are advanced economies' monetary and fiscal policy exits and the remaining global imbalances. According to our...

Owing to the extraordinarily accommodative monetary policy of advanced economy central banks, those of emerging market economies have entered uncharted territory. This note reviews the experience of Thailand, a small economy highly exposed to international trade and capital flows, in dealing...