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We study a production economy with regime switching in the conditional mean and volatility of productivity growth. The representative agent has generalized disappointment aversion (GDA) preferences. We show that volatility risk in productivity growth carries a positive and sizable risk premium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208555
This paper explicitly solves, in closed form, the optimal consumption and portfolio choice for an ambiguity averse investor in a Merton-type two assets economy where a risk premium follows a mean-reverting process. The investor's preferences are represented by the recursive multiple priors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010819323
I examine a continuous-time intertemporal consumption and portfolio choice problem under ambiguity, where expected returns of a risky asset follow a hidden Markov chain. Investors with Chen and Epstein's (2002) recursive multiple priors utility possess a set of priors for unobservable investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008864844
In this article, we examine both pre- and post-reform economic convergence behaviour in China using the time-series procedures developed in the Hobijn and Franses (2000). Our results are striking: First, we find a number of extremely small convergence clubs for both the pre- and post-reform...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008582814
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008814672
We estimate and test long-run risk models using international macroeconomic and financial data. The benchmark model features a representative agent who has recursive preferences with a time preference shock, a persistent component in expected consumption growth, and stochastic volatility in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225797
We develop a real options model in which a firm exposed to seasonal variations in its output price is able to produce output, store it, and sell it later, separating the production and selling decisions. The model suggests that the optimal policy for a firm with low inventory costs is to spread...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234498
We offer evidence that exposures to consumption growth, expected consumption growth, and consumption volatility are significantly priced in the cross-section of delta-hedged option and straddle returns. Consumption growth and expected consumption growth command a positive risk premium, whereas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896696
We study a class of endowment economies with long-run risks in which agents have generalized recursive smooth ambiguity preferences and heterogeneous beliefs. The expected growth rate of aggregate consumption consists of a persistent component. Agents cannot observe the component but learn about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291472