We introduce the optimal-drift model for the approximation of a lognormal stock price process by an accelerated binomial scheme. This model converges with order o(1/N), which is superior compared to today’s benchmark methods. Our approach is based on the observation that risk-neutral binomial...

A duality for robust hedging with proportional transaction costs of path-dependent European options is obtained in a discrete-time financial market with one risky asset. The investor’s portfolio consists of a dynamically traded stock and a static position in vanilla options, which can be...

Multiple-try methods are extensions of the Metropolis algorithm in which the next state of the Markov chain is selected among a pool of proposals. These techniques have witnessed a recent surge of interest because they lend themselves easily to parallel implementations. We consider extended...

We study two models of population with migration. On an island lives an individual whose genealogy is given by a critical Galton–Watson tree. If its offspring ends up consuming all the resources, any newborn child has to migrate to find new resources. In this sense, the migrations are...

We propose a new adequacy test and a graphical evaluation tool for nonlinear dynamic models. The proposed techniques can be applied in any setup where parametric conditional distribution of the data is specified, in particular to models involving conditional volatility, conditional higher...

We propose a new adequacy test and a graphical evaluation tool for nonlinear dynamic models. The proposed techniques can be applied in any setup where parametric conditional distribution of the data is specified, in particular to models involving conditional volatility, conditional higher...

Motivated by recent path-breaking contributions in the theory of repeated games in continuous time, this paper presents a family of discrete-time games which provides a consistent discrete-time approximation of the continuous-time limit game. Using probabilistic arguments, we prove that...

This discussion paper resulted in a publication in 'Quantitative Finance', 2010, 10, 177-194.<P> When using an Euler discretisation to simulate a mean-reverting square root process, one runs into the problem that while the process itself is guaranteed to be nonnegative, the discretisation is not....</p>

Asymptotic properties of singularly perturbed Markov chains having measurable and/or continuous generators are developed in this work. The Markov chain under consideration has a finite-state space and is allowed to be nonstationary. Its generator consists of a rapidly varying part and a slowly...

The paper considers the problem of estimating the dependence function of a bivariate extreme survival function with standard exponential marginals. Nonparametric estimators for the dependence function are proposed and their strong uniform convergence under suitable conditions is demonstrated....