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Alternative techniques for representing dependencies among variables in multivariate simulation are discussed and compared in the context of rating a whole-farm insurance product. A procedure by lman and Conover (IC) that is common in actuarial applications is compared to a new technique...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004991678
This research evaluates whether the introduction of countercyclical payments creates an incentive for program crop producers to hedge the expected government payment using futures and/or options. Results indicate that some level of countercyclical payment hedging is optimal for risk-averse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005801851
A feeder-calf price model is estimated which incorporates elements of break-even budget analysis, including estimates of placement weights, slaughter weights, ration cost, and feed-conversion rates. From this model, a corn price multiplier is calculated which quantifies the corn/feeder-calf...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005801925
Empirical animal performance data is used in evaluating the decision to convert toxic endophyte fescue to novel endophyte fescue. Results indicate that producers at three risk aversion levels prefer replacing their existing toxic fescue stands when the expected stand life for novel endophyte...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005803099
Elasticities calculated from an econometric model of cost of gain (COG) for cattle in feedlots indicate that COG is considerably less responsive to corn price changes than breakeven budgets assume. This difference in elasticities can lead to substantial errors in COG estimates obtained from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005805496
Although several studies have estimated the costs of country-of-origin labeling (COOL), no previous study has documented how these costs will be distributed across the livestock sector or how producer and consumer welfare will be affected. This analysis presents an equilibrium displacement model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005805506
Optimal hedge ratios on feeder steers for four different locations are estimated. Simulate hedging outcomes are evaluated to determine differences in hedging risk across locations. Results indicate that location explains little of the differences in risk, though hedging risk in Georgia is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005806502
Stochastic simulation of daily slaughter level was used in conjunction with an estimated packing plant cost curve to assess potential reductions in processing costs due to improved vertical coordination between feedlots and packing plants. Results indicate that processing cost reductions of $1...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005807808
Since 2002, the Renewable Fuels Standard has established mandated levels of ethanol blending in gasoline. Mandated ethanol use represents an important component of ethanol demand. Thus, the ethanol mandates influence derived demand for corn. This work investigates the potential impact of ethanol...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008503241
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008489877