Unlike previous research on the causal relationship between government revenues and expenditures in the United Kingdom, this study estimates an asymmetric error correction model within a momentum threshold autoregressive framework over the period 1955-2009. The results indicate that government...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the possibility of asymmetries in the budgetary adjustment process. Design/methodology/approach – The paper uses the TAR and MTAR models, set forth by Enders and Siklos, for the period 1957 to 2009. Findings – Short-run results indicate...

This study examines whether real interest rates exhibit changes in persistence for a panel of Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development countries. The findings show that for long-term real interest rates there are changes in persistence from I(0) to I(1). For short-term real interest...

This study re-examines the expectations augmented Phillips Curve allowing for time-varying volatility investigated by Ewing and Seyfried (2003) over a longer time period. Though there is evidence of time-varying variance associated with inflation, the inclusion of the conditional volatility in...