BAUWENS, Luc; DEPRINS, Dominique; VANDEUREN, Jean-Pierre - Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE), … - 1997
We use a bivariate VAR model to model and predict the joint evolution of short term and long term interest rates. We introduce a GARCH effect on the innovations of the model in order to account for the changing volatility of the series. We test the cointegration of the two interest rates, which...