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This paper introduces a new family of portmanteau tests for serial correlation. Using the wavelet transform, we decompose the variance of the underlying process into the variance of its low frequency and of its high frequency components and we design a variance ratio test of no serial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011077599
We introduce a method for measuring default risk connectedness of euro zone sovereign states using credit default swap (CDS) and bond data. The connectedness measure is based on an out-of-sample variance decomposition of model forecast errors. Due to its predictive nature, it can respond more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011959466
We introduce a methodology for measuring default risk connectedness that is based on an out-of-sample variance decomposition of model forecast errors. The out-of-sample nature of the procedure leads to "realized" measures which, in practice, respond more quickly to crisis occurrences than those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503874
We introduce a method for measuring default risk connectedness of euro zone sovereign states using credit default swap (CDS) and bond data. The connectedness measure is based on an out-of-sample variance decomposition of model forecast errors. Due to its predictive nature, it can respond more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958223
The study examines the volatility linkages between India and Asian tiger cubs, i.e., the Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand. It aims to explore the spillover effects of volatility among these countries' stock markets to provide valuable insights to investors and policymakers. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013349202
We provide an assessment of the IMF suggestion, based on Severo (2012), to use an index of systemic liquidity risk (SLRI) that could help to estimate a Pigouvian tax on large banks for the externality on the international banking system out of their risk exposure. To this end we compute a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010678326
Technical analysis is defined as the tracking and prediction of asset price movements using charts and graphs in combination with various mathematical and statistical methods. More precisely, it is the quantitative criteria used in predicting the relative strength of buying and selling forces...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011156395
We revisit a central task of the extant liquidity literature, which is to identify effective measures of liquidity. We critically assess the influential practice of identifying the best liquidity measures based on monthly correlations by comparing and contrasting correlations between monthly and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011156975
The rare disaster hypothesis suggests that the extraordinarily high postwar U.S. equity premium resulted because investors ex ante demanded compensations for unlikely but calamitous risks that they happened not to incur. While convincing in theory, empirical tests of the rare disaster...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212432
This paper reports some of the recent developments in the econometric analysis of semimartingales estimated using high frequency financial returns. It describes a simple yet powerful methodology to decompose asset returns sampled at high frequency into their base components (continuous, small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011014335