Afonso, António; Martins, Manuel M.F. - In: Journal of Banking & Finance 36 (2012) 6, pp. 1789-1807
We study fiscal behaviour and the sovereign yield curve in the US and Germany. We obtain the latent factors, level, slope and curvature, with the Kalman filter, and use them in a VAR with macro, fiscal and financial stress variables. In the US, fiscal shocks generate an immediate response of the...