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This paper employs an augmented version of the UECCC GARCH specification proposed in Conrad and Karanasos (2010) which allows for lagged in-mean effects, level effects as well as asymmetries in the conditional variances. In this unified framework we examine the twelve potential intertemporal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008741269
This paper studies the relation between inflation and relative price variability (RPV) in Spain during the 1987-2009 period. We find that this relation presents a U-shape profile, and that the optimal annual inflation rate (defined as the one that minimizes RPV) is around 4%, higher than the 2%...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010839350
We examine the relationship between inflation uncertainty, inflation and growth using annual historical data on industrial countries covering in many cases more than one century. Proxying inflation uncertainty by the conditional variance of inflation shocks, we obtain the following results. (1)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008506468
The relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty is investigated in six European Union countries for the period 1960 to 1999. EGARCH models are used to generate a measure of inflation uncertainty and then Granger methods are employed to test for causality between average inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008543381
This paper employs the unrestricted extended constant conditional correlation GARCH specification proposed in Conrad and Karanasos (2008) to examine the intertemporal relationship between the uncertainties of inflation and output growth in the US. We find that inflation uncertainty effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005453733
The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship inflation and inflation uncertainty of Turkey for four different monetary policy regimes using EGARCH and Granger causality methods over 1990: 1-2012: 12. I n t his s tudy, the monthly logarithmic difference of the Consumer Price Index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010742087
In this paper, we propose an analytical framework to explore the level and volatility effects of inflation on the output gap. Using quarterly US data over 1977:q2-2009:q4, we then examine the empirical implications of the model by implementing an instrumental variables Markov regime switching...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010659587
This study provides cross country robust evidence on interdependencies among inflation, output growth and respective uncertainties for the current era of low inflation policies. We attribute the extant empirical disagreement on these relations to the fact that long sampling periods and single...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010709334
In this paper, the preceding / causal relationships between inflation and inflation uncertainty have been tried to be examined for the Turkish economy. Dealing with the information content of this relationship, we estimate that positive inflationary shocks are associated with statistically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147699
We empirically investigate the effects of inflation uncertainty on output growth for the US between 1960 and 2012. Modeling output dynamics within a Markov regime switching framework, we provide evidence that inflation uncertainty exerts a negative and regime dependent impact on output growth. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008833864