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The purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship inflation and inflation uncertainty of Turkey for four different monetary policy regimes using EGARCH and Granger causality methods over 1990: 1-2012: 12. I n t his s tudy, the monthly logarithmic difference of the Consumer Price Index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010742087
In this paper, we propose an analytical framework to explore the level and volatility effects of inflation on the output gap. Using quarterly US data over 1977:q2-2009:q4, we then examine the empirical implications of the model by implementing an instrumental variables Markov regime switching...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010659587
This study provides cross country robust evidence on interdependencies among inflation, output growth and respective uncertainties for the current era of low inflation policies. We attribute the extant empirical disagreement on these relations to the fact that long sampling periods and single...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010709334
In this paper, the preceding / causal relationships between inflation and inflation uncertainty have been tried to be examined for the Turkish economy. Dealing with the information content of this relationship, we estimate that positive inflationary shocks are associated with statistically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147699
We empirically investigate the effects of inflation uncertainty on output growth for the US between 1960 and 2012. Modeling output dynamics within a Markov regime switching framework, we provide evidence that inflation uncertainty exerts a negative and regime dependent impact on output growth. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008833864
This paper examines the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty for Greece between 1981 and 2008. Univariate GARCH models are used to generate alternative measures of inflation uncertainty using both seasonally-adjusted and unadjusted data. Granger causality tests are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008852817
We study a model with repeated moral hazard where financial contracts are not fully indexed to inflation because nominal prices are observed with delay as in Jovanovic and Ueda 1997. More constrained firms sign contracts that are less indexed to inflation and, as a result, their investment is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145464
This paper empirically investigates the relationship between average inflation and inflation uncertainty in Paraguay from 1965 to 1999. Several AR-GARCH models are used to generate the conditional mean, as well as the conditional variance of the inflation
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005509974
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005515747
This paper generalizes the popular stochastic volatility in mean model of Koopman and Hol Uspensky (2002) to allow for time-varying parameters in the conditional mean. The estimation of this extension is nontrival since the volatility appears in both the conditional mean and the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011203194