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The welfare costs of inflation and inflation uncertainty are well documented in the literature and empirical evidence on the link between the two is sparse in the case of Egypt. This paper investigates the causal relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in Egypt using monthly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011708707
This study investigates the relationship between inflation, inflation uncertainty and output in Tunisia using real and nominal data. GARCH-in-mean model with lagged variance equation is employed for the analysis. The result shows that inflation uncertainty has a positive and significant effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010311028
The welfare costs of inflation and inflation uncertainty are well documented in the literature and empirical evidence on the link between the two is sparse in the case of Egypt. This paper investigates the causal relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in Egypt using monthly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379937
Uncertainty about the future path of inflation affects consumption, saving and investment decisions as well as wage negotiations and price setting of firms. These decisions are based on inflation expectations which are a key determinant of inflation in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011592693
This study investigates the relationship between inflation, inflation uncertainty and output in Tunisia using real and nominal data. GARCH-in-mean model with lagged variance equation is employed for the analysis. The result shows that inflation uncertainty has a positive and significant effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956143
This paper studies the impact of inflation on inflation uncertainty in a modelling framework where both the conditional mean and conditional variance of inflation are regime specific, and the GARCH model for inflation uncertainty is extended by including a lagged inflation term in each regime....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255444
We use over two hundred years of US inflation data to examine the impact of inflation uncertainty on inflation. An analysis of the full period without allowing for various regimes shows no impact of uncertainty on inflation. However, once we distinguish between recessions and non recessions, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009321052
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to establish a link between inflation uncertainty and interest rates for five inflation-targeting countries. Design/methodology/approach – The approach takes the form of a time-varying parameter model with a Generalized Autoregressive Conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010814543
This paper investigates the links between inflation, its uncertainty and economic growth in five ASEAN countries over the period 1980: Q1-2011: Q3. We rely on the Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model to explore the causal relationship among the three variables. The major findings are: (i) inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729126
Inflation and inflation uncertainty are critical factors influencing the functioning of markets and thus the efficient flow of economic activities. In this study, we investigated the effects of inflation and inflation uncertainty on growth in Ghana. Unlike the majority of the previous studies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012176383