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This paper develops a quantitative model of contagion of financial crisis and sovereign default for small open … explanation of the contagion of financial crises. The model shows that whenever a country suffers a domestic shock that forces it …, producing a contagion of the crisis in those countries whose fundamentals are not solid enough. Also, even when the crisis in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652932
This paper analyzes sovereign risk shift-contagion, i.e. positive and significant changes in the propagation mechanisms … propagation of shocks in euro's bond yield spreads shows almost no presence of shift-contagion. All the increases in correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010527055
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent … a country's vulnerability to contagion depends on "fundamentals" as opposed the government's "credibility"? We look at … matter concerning the Euro Zone. Second, differences in vulnerability to contagion within the Eurozone are even more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038
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This paper investigates the role that Eurobonds could play in making EMU stable in the long run. We establish that EMU's budgetary problems are not only caused by lack of budgetary discipline, but also by the large and sudden fiscal deterioration during the financial crisis. This type of shock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010757280
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This paper investigates the presence of Granger-causality amongst world market indices: S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Eurostoxx 50, Nikkei, FTSE 100, from January 2nd 1987 to October 17th 2008. Using daily market returns I performed a Granger-causality test, based on the Vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005621659