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from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation …, Survey of Professional Forecasters, and the Michigan Survey. While useful in developing models of forecasting inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399
Michigan Surveys of Consumers. While these measures have been useful in developing models of forecasting inflation, the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650037
We survey 84 finance and accounting majors to determine the behavioral factors that males and females exhibit when making investment decisions. The survey results are linked to student performance in the Stock-Trak Global Portfolio Trading Simulation. We find that males and females exhibit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090143
These days it's become convention (reinforced by the media's treatment of wealth) to assess our net worth by tallying up the market value of our financial assets, even though it's more natural and useful to think of our wealth as a stream of dollars over time given the nature of our income and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834170
In understanding how leveraged ETFs perform, we'll uncover an important lesson relevant to all investing: how your choice of investment size can be more important than your choice of investment. To summarize, highly leveraged long and short ETFs provide a perfect illustration of how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835909
There has been considerable research into dynamic global tactical asset allocation (GTAA) strategies driven by simple measures of Valuation and Momentum applied to a baseline balanced portfolio of equities and fixed income (see Blitz and van Vliet 2008, Wang and Kochard 2011, Gnedenko and Yelnik...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838940
The longest bull market in US stock market history is over. Uncertainty over the public health and economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic will keep markets extremely volatile, making it likely we'll touch a wide range of price levels in the months ahead. Amidst such uncertainty, it's a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839090
<p>I discuss a new intellectual paradigm, social economics and finance: the study of the social processes that shape economic thinking and behavior. This emerging field recognizes that people observe and talk to each other. A key, underexploited building block of social economics and finance is...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839970
<p>This document contains presentation slides for the American Finance Association's Presidential Address of January 4, 2020. The address is based on the paper "Social Transmission Bias in Economics and Finance."</p><p>The paper: "https://ssrn.com/abstract=3550880" https://ssrn.com/abstract=3550880...</p>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844892