Turkiye’de son yillarda cari islemler aciginin yuksek seviyelerde dalgali bir seyir izlemesi ve buna paralel olarak gundeme gelen kirilganliklar, dis dengeyi makroekonomik istikrari saglamaya yonelik politikalarin merkezine oturtmaktadir. Cari islemler dengesine dair politika tasariminin...

This paper presents wage curves for formal and informal workers using a rich individual level data for Turkey over the period 2005-2009. The wage curve is an empirical regularity describing a negative relationship between regional unemployment rates and individuals' real wages. While this...

This paper analyzes rates of inflow to and outflow from unemployment for Turkey since 2006. The average rate of exiting unemployment (outflow) within a month is 9.4 percent, while the average rate of transiting from employment to unemployment (inflow) is 1.3 percent. Moreover, the analysis of...

This study aims to investigate the e¤ects of government spending shocks on the real exchange rate and foreign trade balance in Turkey for the period of 2002.I - 2012.IV within a structural VAR framework. The analysis shows that a positive shock to government spending tends to induce real...

In the aftermath of the financial crisis, understanding the lending behavior of banks has become more important than ever. In this context, bank lending surveys, which are regularly conducted by central banks, enable us to disentangle the drivers of loan supply and loan demand. This paper...

We estimate an output gap indicator for Turkey without resorting to any kind of a filtering procedure. Our approach stands on a two-step procedure : First, we pick such variables that are directly informative about the phase of the business cycle, where the decision of choice depends on their...

We present and study the properties of a sticky information exchange rate model where consumers and producers update their information sets infrequently. We find that introducing inattentive consumers has important implications. Through a mechanism resembling the limited participation models, we...

The question of why some countries suffer from crises, while some others can escape from them, is challenging. Empirical evidence suggests that countries with stronger financial institutions are more durable to the wind of crises. In this paper, we investigate empirically whether the link...

We use linear regression models and Bayesian Model Averaging procedure to investigate whether Google search query data can improve the nowcast performance of the monthly nonagricultural unemployment rate for Turkey for the period from January 2005 to January 2012. We show that Google search...

Turkiye’de yurtici tasarruf orani son yillarda belirgin bir dusus gostermistir. Soz konusu dusus tasarruf-yatirim aciginin buyumesinde dolayisiyla yuksek cari islemler aciginin ortaya cikmasinda etkili olmaktadir. Bu cercevede, hanehalki tasarruflarini artirmaya yonelik olarak Bireysel...