In this paper we examine the impact of a large number of factors at the bank level (liquidity and credit risks, asset size, income diversification and market power), at the industry level (banking concentration) and macro-level (real GDP growth) on bank financial distress using an unbalanced...

We study the impact of financial variables upon bankruptcy and voluntary exit. Controlling for efficiency, which we find to decrease the odds of both bankruptcy and voluntary exit, characteristics of firms which correlate with the firms' access to funds, exert very different impacts upon the two...

En este trabajo se estima la probabilidad de incumplimiento de las empresas, sus determinantes y el nivel de riesgo crediticio corporativo agregado del sistema financiero. Se utiliza un modelo logit ordenado generalizado con variables explicativas que contienen información a nivel de firmas y...

Notre travail s'inscrit dans le courant consacré à la prévision de la défaillance bancaire. Il se propose de tester la validité de la typologie de type CAMEL dans le cadre de la modélisation de la prévision du défaut bancaire dans les pays émergents. Son originalité réside dans...

This paper extends Wheelock and Kumbhakar’s (1995) test for moral hazard in the Kansas deposit insurance system (1910-1920). This paper tests and finds evidence of omitted bank-specific effects. Estimates in Wheelock and Kumbhakar (1995), as a result, are biased. This paper introduces...

We examine whether two commonly used indicators of bank fragility, the subordinated debt spread and KMV’s distance to default, yield signals in line with supervisors’ interests. We argue that supervisors would prefer indicators that are strictly increasing in earnings, and decreasing in...

The primary goal of this paper is to examine credit access of farmers in Nicaragua. We identify the primary factors determining their probability of securing a loan. We are also concerned with understanding the impact on agricultural sector of the large number of micro-finance institutions...

Regulatory and institutional environment is not without effect on a bank's risk taking and therefore on a bank's default. In this article, we investigate regulatory and institutional determinants of credit risk taking and bank's default probability in emerging market economies. Using a two step...

En este trabajo se estima la probabilidad de incumplimiento de las empresas, sus determinantes y el nivel de riesgo crediticio corporativo agregado del sistema financiero. Se utiliza un modelo logit ordenado generalizado con variables explicativas que contienen información a nivel de firmas y...

This work follows the early warning signals literature. We propose to test the validity of the CAMEL rating typology for banks’ default models in emerging markets. We focus explicitly on these types of economies and we also investigate the impact of several regulatory, institutional, and legal...