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This dissertation comprises three distinct economic stduies. The first deals with the origin of business cycle fluctuations and the other two with the measurement of financial constraints and the identification of the respective treatment effect.
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We present an analysis of VaR forecasts and P&L-series of all 13 German banks that used internal models for regulatory … series of statistical tools to perform our analyses. The results shed light on the forecast quality of VaR models of the …
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