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We examine the effects of parameter uncertainty and Bayesian learning on equilibrium asset prices when all the structural parameters of the aggregate consumption and dividend growth rate processes are unknown. With realistic calibration of a parsimonious set of prior parameters, the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150931
The behavioural finance literature attributes the persistent market misvaluation observed in real data to the presence of deviations from rational thinking of the actors involved. Cognitive biases and the use of simple heuristics can be described using expected utility maximising agents that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013161531
Estimation of benchmark yield curve in developing markets is often influenced by liquidity concentration. Based on an affine term structure model, we develop a long run liquidity weighted fitting method to address the trading concentration phenomenon arising from horizon-induced clientele...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148657
We develop a theoretical trading conditioning model subject to price volatility and return information in terms of market psychological behavior, based on analytical transaction volume-price probability wave distributions in which we use transaction volume probability to describe price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149537
This paper proposes a pure-exchange economy with three key ingredients: habit formation, stochastic moments of aggregate consumption, and a small degree of heterogeneity in risk aversion consistent with empirical data. We obtain closed formulas for many equilibrium quantities, including the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068369
I show that a simple asset pricing equilibrium model can explain many salient features of index option prices if one allows for small deviations from rational expectations. A representative investor holds subjective beliefs about the underlying asset returns, which he optimally learns from past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242013
With imperfect price interpretation, quantitative investing — trading strategies based on the information extraction from quantitative analysis of price — can affect price informativeness through two distinct economic mechanisms. Directly, it brings more informed capital with superior price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289133
This paper studies market selection in an Arrow-Debreu economy with complete markets where agents learn over misspecified models. Under model misspecification, standard Bayesian learning loses its formal justification and biased learning processes may provide a selection advantage. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014541784
This paper studies market selection in an Arrow-Debreu economy with complete markets where agents learn over misspecified models. Under model misspecification, standard Bayesian learning loses its formal justification and biased learning processes may provide a selection advantage. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014283575
This research considers the strategies on the initial public offering of company equity at the stock exchanges in the imperfect highly volatile global capital markets with the nonlinearities. We provide the IPO definition and compare the initial listing requirements on the various markets. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258000