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Most of the literature on combination of forecasts deals with the assumption of unbiased individual forecasts. Here, we consider the case of biased forecasts and discuss two different combination techniques resulting in an unbiased forecast. On the one hand we correct the individual forecasts,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316655
Most of the literature on combination of forecasts deals with the assumption of unbiased individual forecasts. Here, we consider the case of biased forecasts and discuss two different combination techniques resulting in an unbiased forecast. On the one hand we correct the individual forecasts,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009789914
When a forecaster predicts the future value of a certain random variable it is very likely that he will not only forecast that certain variable but he will also forecast other variables from the same field. In the literature on the combination of several individual forecasts univariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009775960
The paper explores the effect of measurement errors on the estimation of a linear panel data model. The conventional fixed effects estimator, which ignores measurement errors, is biased. By correcting for the bias one can construct consistent and asymptotically normal estimators. In addition, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264605
Beta regression - an increasingly popular approach for modeling rates and proportions - is extended in various … directions: (a) bias correction/reduction of the maximum likelihood estimator, (b) beta regression tree models by means of … recursive partitioning, (c) latent class beta regression by means of finite mixture models. All three extensions may be of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294793
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Geographically weighted small area methods have been studied in literature for small area estimation. Although these approaches are useful for the estimation of small area means efficiently under strict parametric assumptions, they can be very sensitive to outliers in the data. In this paper, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011455039
In regression discontinuity design (RD), for a given bandwidth, researchers can estimate standard errors based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011869057
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