Showing 1 - 10 of 100,583
as semiparametric time series models are evaluated in terms of fitting and ex ante forecasting. The overall impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296439
This paper examines the effects of financial crises on the long memory volatility dependency of daily exchange returns focusing on the Asian crisis in 97-98 and the Global crisis in 08-09. By using the daily KRW-USD and JPY-USD exchange rates which have different trading regions and volumes,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568197
This paper investigates empirically the impact of exchange rate volatility on Pakistan's exports to its major trading partners under the floating exchange rate regime for the period 1985 to 2001. Estimates of the co-integrating relations are obtained using Johansen's technique, and estimates of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010599006
-step-ahead forecastabilities by employing four major forecasting evaluation criteria, and compares two different currencies— the Pakistan rupee and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905735
The Foreign Exchange Market in India has undergone substantial changes over last decade. It is imperative by the excessive volatility of Indian Rupee causing its depreciation against major dominating currencies in international market. This research has been carried out in order to investigate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010602025
Error at several forecasting horizons. This result holds true even when comparing the survey to a more competitive benchmark …: survey-based forecasts outperform a “pure luck” benchmark at several forecasting horizons. Differing from the traditional “no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015262273
This paper estimates the degree of persistence of 16 long-horizon real exchange rates relative to the US dollar. We use nonparametric operational algorithms by El-Gamal and Ryu (2006) for general nonlinear models based on two statistical notions: the short memory in mean (SMM) and the short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011094585
This paper estimates the degree of persistence of 16 long-horizon real exchange rates relative to the US dollar. We use nonparametric operational algorithms by El-Gamal and Ryu (2006) for general nonlinear models based on two statistical notions: the short memory in mean (SMM) and the short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010862348
method has the best forecasting accuracy with respect to time series models, such as seasonal ARIMA and ARCH models. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008482038
This empirical study examines the effects of terms-of-trade (TOT) volatility on inflation in Pakistan, using annual data for the period 1972 to 2012. The results show that TOT volatility has a significant negative effect on inflation in Pakistan. This result is robust to alternative equation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905749