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If we reassess the rationality question under the assumption that the uncertainty of the natural world is largely … theory of ecological rationality. The main casualty of this rebuilding process is optimality. Once we view optimality as a … formal implication of quantified uncertainty rather than an ecologically meaningful objective, the rationality question …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159880
This paper revisits Wald's (1947) sequential experimentation paradigm, now assuming that an impatient decision maker can run variable-size experiments each period at some increasing and strictly convex cost before finally choosing an irreversible action. We translate this natural discrete time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762616
This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean …-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of … JMG's ideas of self-fulfilling mistakes. Some of our learning-to-forecast laboratory experiments with human subjects have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590425
rationality behaviour by people. Quite recent developments in the Economics of Knowledge, i.e. the so-called learning models, have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502970
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133364
Amicus Brief submitted in the Bankruptcy of Lyondell Chemical Company, analyzing fraudulent transfer issues by applying the techniques developed in "Leveraged Buyout Bankruptcies, the Problem of Hindsight Bias, and the Credit Default Swap Solution" - http://ssrn.com/abstract=1632084
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119900
The methods that bankruptcy courts have traditionally used to adjudicate fraudulent transfer claims have at times led to inconsistent, unpredictable, and inadvertently biased outcomes. However, recent legal and financial innovations may aid bankruptcy courts in assessing fraudulent transfer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992870
The focus of this study is on black markets which provide an important segment of the parallel economy. These markets operate in disequilibrium,search and information costs become very important.Trafficking in drugs taken as case, to explore both theoretically and empirically. The problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009422026
Italian Abstract: Elementi di teoria dei giochi necessari ad implementare e risolvere giochi statici e dinamici con informazione completa e incompleta. Particolare attenzione e dettagli di soluzione sono esposti per i giochi bayesiani dinamici con informazione incompleta
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014158962
This paper develops a decision-theoretic framework to study rational inattention (Sims [1998, 2003]). We provide an axiomatic characterization that relates rationally inattentive behavior to attitudes towards flexibility (Kreps [1979]) and temporal resolution of uncertainty (Kreps and Porteus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974280