AbstractThe following sections are included:We start with something cleverShorting S&P500 puts in a declining marketGold coinsBubbles?

AbstractWe investigate the stock market crashes in China, Iceland, and the US in the 2007–2009 period. The bond stock earnings yield difference model is used as a prediction tool. Historically, when the measure is too high, meaning that long bond interest rates are too high relative to the...

AbstractThe following sections are included:Election cyclesUS bond returns after presidential electionsPolitical effects: when Congress is in sessionSome simple presidential investment strategiesFinal Remarks

AbstractThe following sections are included:Sovereign funds are not monolithicSovereign funds are bigAnd will increase demand for risky assetsA taste for financialsBut not as big as some optimists think or as pessimists fearIncrease in strategic stakes oneoff opportunism or evidence of a change...

AbstractIn mid 2008, I wrote an article (Chapter 8), about sovereign wealth funds and other government pools of capital - arguing that they probably were not as big as their proponents hoped (or their detractors feared), in part because many of their estimated $2 trillion in assets were already...

AbstractThe following sections are included:The historical development leading up to the NSA put warrantsNSA puts and calls on the Toronto and American stock exchanges, 1989–1992

AbstractThe following sections are included:The February 5, 2012 Super Bowl in IndianapolisRecap of the Super BowlRecap of the PlayoffsNew Orleans at San Francisco: a game for the ages full of risk arbitrage opportunitiesNew York Giants at Green BayPittsburgh at Denver: which Tebow will show...

AbstractThe following sections are included:Growth of derivativesOilGoldUS stock market and economyCurrenciesEuropeIceland

AbstractThe following sections are included:The effect of the Fed meetings

AbstractThe following sections are included:BackgroundMoving Average and Signal ChartThe Chinese Shanghai Stock Market CrashThe Iceland stock market crashA brief discussion of IcelandThe Iceland financial crisis continuesComments on the crash signals for the three banks from Lleo and Ziemba...