It is well-known that financial asset returns exhibit fat-tailed distributions and long-term memory. These empirical features are the main objectives of modeling efforts using (i) stochastic processes to quantitatively reproduce these features and (ii) agent-based simulations to understand the...

Various studies have reported that many economic systems have been exhibiting an increase in the correlation between different market sectors, a factor that exacerbates the level of systemic risk. We measure this systemic risk of three major world shipping markets, (i) the new ship market, (ii)...

We model the power-law stability in distribution of returns for S&P500 index by the GARCH process which we use to account for the long memory in the variance correlations. Precisely, we analyze the distributions corresponding to temporal aggregation of the GARCH process, i.e., the sum of n GARCH...

We investigate how simultaneously recorded long-range power-law correlated multivariate signals cross-correlate. To this end we introduce a two-component ARFIMA stochastic process and a two-component FIARCH process to generate coupled fractal signals with long-range power-law correlations which...

We analyze auto-correlations of human chromosomes 1–22 and rice chromosomes 1–12 for seven binary mapping rules and find that the correlation patterns are different for different rules but almost identical for all of the chromosomes, despite their varying lengths and gc contents. We propose...

We analyze the European transition economics and show that many time series of major indices exhibit (i) power-law correlations in their values, (ii) power-law correlations in their magnitudes and (iii) an asymmetric probability distribution. Applying the phase randomization procedure to these...

Department: Economics.

The paper provides a stock-market-performance analysis for three emerging European stock markets: Croatia, Slovenia, and Bosnia and Herzegovina. Using monthly observations we perform a detailed study of the performance of Croatian and Slovenian mutual funds and Bosnian investment funds. The...

Inspired by recent ideas on how the analysis of complex financial risks can benefit from analogies with independent research areas, we propose an unorthodox framework for mapping microfinance credit risk---a major obstacle to the sustainability of lenders outreaching to the poor. Specifically,...

Motivated by the goal of finding a more accurate description of the empirically observed dynamics of financial fluctuations, we propose a stochastic process that yields three statistical properties: (i) short-range autocorrelations in the index changes, (ii) long-range correlations in the...