The paper explores the relationship between various orderings among probability forecasts that have been suggested in the literature. It is shown that well calibrated forecasters are in general not comparable according to the domination ordering suggested by Vardeman and Meeden (1983), that the...

The paper considers the Markov-Switching GARCH(1,1)-model with time-varying transition probabilities. It derives su±cient conditions for the square of the process to display long memory and provides some additional intuition for the empirical observation that estimated GARCH-parameters often...

It has long been known that the estimated persistence parameter in the GARCH(1,1) - model is biased upwards when the parameters of the model are not constant throughout the sample. The present paper explains the mechanics of this behavior for a particular class of estimates of the model...

In this paper, we have presented the second level nesting of Bonney's disposition model (Bonney, 1998) and examined the implications of higher level nesting of the disposition model in relation to the dimension of the parameter space. We have also compared the performance of the disposition...

The determination of toxicokinetic parameters is an essential component in the risk assessment of potential harmful chemicals. It is a key step to analyse the processes involved in the formation of DNA adducts which are connected with the development of chemical-induced cancer. A general problem...

The correlated Weibull regression model for the analysis of correlated binary data is presented. This regression model is based on Bonney’s disposition model for the regression analysis of correlated binary outcomes. Parameter estimation was done through the maximum likelihood method. The...

The structural analysis of proteins is fundamental to the analysis of protein functions. In this context, sequence-structure alignment methods are important among the different empirical methods. In order to assess the quality of sequence-structure alignments, a statistical method using a...

The determination of toxicokinetic parameters is an essential component in the risk assessment of potential harmful chemicals. It’s a first step to analyse the processes which are involved in the development of DNA adducts and might therefore lead to the development of cancer. The complete...