Final working paper version. "" Published version: The Review of Financial Studies, Volume 31, Issue 7, July 2018, pp. 2499–2552. Past fund performance does a poor job of predicting future outcomes. The reason is noise. Using a random effects framework, we reduce the noise by pooling...

We evaluate how work experience in mutual funds affects manager skills after they switch to private funds. Using a proprietary Chinese private fund database from 2012 to 2016, we document that, despite their work experience in mutual funds, switched private fund managers significantly...

ETFs attract a larger proportion of institutional investors than do the underlying markets. The price of an ETF will deviate from the price of the underlying, if institutional investors are less prone to investor sentiment-driven mispricing, than are retail investors. We employ a unique...

I study the market for lending and borrowing securities in the United States. I find that by making securities available for borrowing, mutual funds acquire information about short selling, which they exploit for trading. Funds with discretion in their investment choices rebalance their...

Risk-neutral valuation is used to value a portfolio and decompose it into the components accruing to its stakeholders. The analysis incorporates managers' expected performance and contract renewal issues. A managed portfolio's economic value is shown to differ from its net asset value. A better...

We use risk-neutral valuation to value a portfolio and decompose the value into the components accruing to its stakeholders - service providers, portfolio managers, and the owners. The analysis incorporates managers' expected performance and contract-renewal issues. It provides a paradigm for...

This paper examines greenwashing practice in sustainable funds. We utilize a unique data set of US equity mutual fund holdings between 2011 and 2021 to calculate the sustainable funds' carbon footprint. Using an event study, we find that sustainable fund flows initially respond positively to...

This study conducts a comprehensive and systematic empirical examination of the variables that can predict the cross-sectional alphas of the mutual funds in the Chinese market. From 36 predictors considered, it is found that about half show significant predictive ability for ex-post fund alphas...

Traditional risk-adjusted performance measures, such as the Sharpe ratio, the Treynor index or Jensen’s alpha, based on the mean-variance framework, are widely used to rank mutual funds. However, performance measures that consider risk by taking into account only losses, such as Value-at-Risk...

We forecast monthly Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) using option market data and four different econometric techniques. Independently from the econometric approach used, all models produce quick to estimate forward-looking risk measures that do not depend from the amount...