Estimation results in linear regression models are sometimes in contrast with what was expected on the basis of a certain set of hypotheses or theory, in the sense that one or more parameters have the "wrong sign". One could be inclined to think that this is due to collinearity across...

To enable answering the question in the title, we introduce a bivariate censored latent effects autoregression, and discuss representation, parameter estimation, diagnostics and inference. We show that this bivariate nonlinear model is very useful for examining common nonlinearity. We apply the...

We study the problem of finding sparse, mean reverting portfolios based on multivariate historical time series. After mapping the optimal portfolio selection problem into a generalized eigenvalue problem, we propose a new optimization approach based on the use of simulated annealing. This new...

The presence of transient storage zone modifies the riverine pollutant transport. In the present work, new empirical expressions for three key parameters of transient storage model (TSM), an important method for predicting concentration variation of pollutants in rivers, have been derived...

Meta-heuristic algorithms, such as the genetic algorithm and ant colony optimization, have received considerable attention in recent years due to their higher ability for solving difficult engineering optimization problems. This paper employs these techniques for estimating parameters of...

In this paper, we introduce a class of a directed acyclic graph on the assumption that the collection of random variables indexed by the vertices has a Markov property. We present a flexible approach for the study of the exact distributions of runs and scans on the directed acyclic graph by...

Information inequalities in a general sequential model for stochastic processes are presented by applying the approach to estimation through estimating functions. Using this approach, Bayesian versions of the information inequalities are also obtained. In particular, exponential-family processes...

Most of the existing literature on social preferences either tests whether certain characteristics of the social context (like intentions of others) influence individual decisions, or tries to estimate parameters of social preference functions describing such behavior at the level of the entire...

In this paper we investigate trading with optimal mean reverting portfolios subject to cardinality constraints. First, we identify the parameters of the underlying VAR(1) model of asset prices and then the quantities of the corresponding Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process are estimated by pattern...