Two recent papers on managing new product diffusion decisions under production constraints reach somewhat contradictory conclusions. Ho et al. (Ho, T.-H., S. Savin, C. Terwiesch. 2002. Managing demand and sales dynamics in new product diffusion under supply constraint. <i>Management Sci.</i> <b>48</b>(2)...

Empirically, ADF tests fail to reject the null hypothesis that sales are I(1). We build a model of inventory behavior that incorporates permanent sales shocks. Analytically, the model with I(1) sales implies that the variance ratio (of log production to log sales) is one in the long run,...

This paper studies the potential benefits of collaborative forecasting (CF) partnerships in a supply chain that consists of a manufacturer and a retailer. To reflect the reality in production environments, we propose a scorecard that captures inventory considerations, production smoothing, and...

We propose a model in which subcontracting can be explicitly considered as a production planning strategy. Possible market and nonmarket subcontracting mechanisms and their costs are discussed. We show that a class of feasible subcontracting mechanisms in which firms coordinate their production...

This paper presents two methods to solve the production smoothing problem in mixed-model just-in-time (JIT) systems with large setup and processing time variability between different models the systems produce. The problem is motivated by production planning at a leading U.S. automotive pressure...

We consider the problem of smoothing production in a job shop in which all production is to customer order and the demand process is a stationary stochastic process. We present an approach to production smoothing based on the concept of a planning window. A planning window is the difference...

A wide range of motives for holding inventories has been identified in the literature. These include the desire to smooth production in the face of fluctuating demand, the desire to avoid stockouts, and the desire to shift production into periods when costs are relatively low. Most of the...

Why did the volatility of U.S. real GDP decline by more than the volatility of final sales with the Great Moderation in the mid-1980s? One possible explanation is that firms shifted their inventory behavior towards a greater emphasis on production smoothing. We investigate the role of...