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We present new evidence on disaggregated profit and loss and VaR forecasts obtained from a large international commercial bank. Our dataset includes daily P/L generated by four separate business lines within the bank. All four business lines are involved in securities trading and each is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005802112
We present new evidence on disaggregated profit and loss (P/L) and Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasts obtained from a large international commercial bank. Our dataset includes the actual daily P/L generated by four separate business lines within the bank. All four business lines are involved in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005037434
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volatility estimation is considered. The empirical analysis is performed on futures contracts of both the Standard and Poors 500 … importance of taking asymmetric effects (leverage effects) into account in volatility forecasts when it comes to risk management …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292347
We study a class of backtests for forecast distributions in which the test statistic is a spectral transformation that weights exceedance events by a function of the modeled probability level. The choice of the kernel function makes explicit the user's priorities for model performance. The class...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927115
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, particularly during crises and heightened uncertainty phases. Phenomena like volatility clustering impinge on the accuracy of these … models. To mitigate such constraints, conditional volatility models are integrated to augment the robustness and adaptability … amidst the Thai stock market's volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic. The dataset encompasses daily price fluctuations in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014497424