a large-scale FAVAR model for 18 OECD member countries. We quantify the global effects of economic policy uncertainty … and financial sector effects of uncertainty. In that respect, we compare the impacts of a US and a Euro area uncertainty … shock. According to our results, an increase in uncertainty has a strong negative impact on economic activity, consumer …

The preliminary evidence in the literature suggests that changes in uncertainty have a role in shaping the U ….S. economic cycle. But what is effectively measured by the different available indicators of uncertainty still remains an … "uncertain" issue. This paper has two aims: (i) to introduce a new uncertainty indicator (GT) based on Internet searches; and (ii …

-category spillovers of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) and financial market volatility between the US and Japan. Our model includes … indices of monetary, fiscal and trade policy uncertainty for each country, as well as three measures of option-implied stock … strong sources of uncertainty spillovers throughout the sample period. …

describe how Americans in the labor force perceive the risk of near-term economic misfortune. …

We examine the effect of introducing Knightian uncertainty into a simple model of public good provision. We find that … uncertainty may reduce the free-rider problem if utility is concave in public goods or there are decreasing returns to scale in …

This paper provides new indices of global macroeconomic uncertainty and investigates the cross-country transmission of … uncertainty using a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model. The indices measure the dispersion of forecasts that results from … parameter uncertainty in the GVAR. Relying on the error correction representation of the model, we distinguish between measures …