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Against the backdrop of the Greek three-act tragedy, we present a theoretical framework for studying Greece’s recent debt and currency crisis. The model is built on two essential blocks: first, erratic macroeconomic policymaking in Greece is described using a stochastic regime-switching model;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011406792
A mechanism to restructure the debt of an insolvent euro country is a missing element in the emerging institutional architecture of the euro area. The introduction of an insolvency procedure for sovereigns faces a dilemma: In the foreseeable future, its introduction would risk pushing Europe...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010394484
The final stage of the unification process of European Union is monetary union. From July 1, 2002, The currency called the Euro has replaced the national currencies. This situation has caused concern from the very beginning. Unless achieving harmonization on application of monetary and fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097498
Unlike the crisis years of 2007-2009 (when the insolvency of large banks was a major problem), the current round of the global financial crisis has fiscal origins. Almost all developed countries suffer from an excessive public debt burden that has been built up over the last two decades or more....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102556
At the level of public discourse the debate surrounding European sovereign debt crises has become polarised between the need for greater levels of public spending cuts and privatisation (‘austerity') and the need to use government investment or reductions in regulatory policies to bring about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105777
While the financial protection measures enacted by the ECB and the community of Eurozone members have calmed financial markets, they have left the competitiveness problem of the Eurozone's southern countries and France unresolved. The paper compares price inflation before the crisis with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087283
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent a country's vulnerability to contagion depends on "fundamentals" as opposed the government's "credibility"? We look at the empirical evidence on European sovereigns CDS spreads...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088213
In this study global and national variables that affect the sovereign Credit Default Swaps (CDS) spreads for Turkey are examined. The study utilities monthly time-series data, spanning from August of 2009 to September 2018. Empirical analysis is done in two steps: In the first step, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840414
This study examines the nexus between sovereigns and banks during a crisis with a focus on the effects of PSI, the voluntary exchange program of Greek sovereign bonds with private sector involvement. The effectiveness of the program is evaluated through its impact on credit default swaps of 8...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843895
The introduction of collective action clauses in advanced economies' sovereign bonds is an understudied phenomenon. An important concern is whether these clauses produce segmentation, pushing apart the price of those bonds issued with and without collective action clauses (CACs). This paper uses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907012