We compare the stock return forecasting performance of alternative payout yields. The net payout yield produces more accurate forecasts relative to alternatives, including the traditional dividend yield. This remains true even after excluding several years during the Great Depression when...

Recent research documents the superiority of dividend-yield based trading rules over a buy-and-hold strategy in the U.S. and Finland. We extend the international evidence on the superiority of dividend-yield based trading rules by examining whether the trading rules outperform a buy-and-hold...

This study aims to determine the effect of dividend policy on investment decisions of a sample of individual investors settled at Western Mediterranean Region (Antalya, Burdur and Isparta) in Turkey. The survey method was employed within the study. Initially, the demographic features of the...

We show that three proxies for stock price informativeness, adjusted probability of information based trading (AdjPIN), price non-synchronicity and probability of information-based trading (PIN), decrease significantly due to an enlarged investor base after stock splits. The results are...

Given their unique characteristics, insurers that adjust their dividends may create a unique signal. An event study methodology is used to measure the share price response of insurers to dividend increases, and matched control samples of banks and industrial firms are similarly assessed. The...

We show that log-dividends (d) and log-prices (p) are cointegrated, but, instead of de facto assuming the stationarity of the classical log dividend–price ratio, we allow the data to reveal the cointegration vector between d and p. We define the modified dividend–price ratio (mdp), as the...

Modigliani and Miller (M&M) proposed that investors forgo dividends, leaving the money available for reinvestment as retained earnings. This recommendation takes two parts: Proposition III, i.e., a dividend has no impact on market value, and Proposition IV, i.e., that financial policy is of no...

Since firms time the stock market through equity net issuance, the direction of net issuance reveals the firm's net present value calculation and an asset pricing model of risk most likely to be used in the calculation. We take this insight to develop a test that infers an asset pricing model...

A hedge fund manager invests the fund in a constant investment opportunity, and receives high-water mark fees when the fund reaches a new maximum relative to a stochastic benchmark, aiming to maximize the expected power utility from fees in the long run. The manager's optimal portfolio includes...

We comprehensively analyze the predictive power of several option implied variables for monthly S & P 500 excess returns and realized variance. The correlation risk premium (CRP) emerges as a strong predictor of both excess returns and realized variance. This is true both in- and out-of-sample....