Showing 31 - 40 of 76
Extreme weather induced by climate change can have major consequences for human health. In this study, I quantify the effect of tropical storm frequency and severity on mortality using objective meteorological data and the universe of vital statistics records from a large developing country,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011977438
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011870166
This paper estimates the damages from tropical cyclones (TCs) in the Southern Hemisphere under future climate change scenarios based on the historical TC records in Australia. From the best-track TC data, we examine the changes in frequency, intensity, and economic damage of the TCs that made...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010987544
Accurate quantification of hurricane surge probabilities is critically important for coastal planning and design. Recently, the joint probability method has been shown to yield statistically reliable surge probabilities and has quickly become the method of choice for extreme-value surge analysis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010995650
Tropical cyclones are the most hazardous weather systems, which form over warm ocean waters. The frequencies of tropical cyclones show variabilities over all the oceanic basins, during the El-Niño and El-Niño Modoki years. Recent studies have shown significant impact of air–sea interaction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010995708
Tsunamis and intense tropical storms compete as viable mechanisms for catastrophic marine inundations of coastlines, and so interpretation of deposits laid down by palaeo-events is often problematic. Here, examples are presented from the tropical South Pacific Islands to demonstrate how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010995855
This study entails the implementation of an experimental real time forecast capability for tropical cyclones over the Bay of Bengal basin of North Indian Ocean. This work is being built on the experience gained from a number of recent studies using the concept of superensemble developed at the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010995957
Much progress has been made in the area of tropical cyclone prediction using high-resolution mesoscale models based on community models developed at National Centers for Environmental Predication (NCEP) and National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). While most of these model research and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010996079
The last few years have seen enormous damage and lossof life from climate and weather phenomena. The mostdamaging events have included the severe 1997/98 ElNiño (with its near-global impacts), HurricaneMitch, and floods in China in mid-1998. What have welearnt regarding the causes, variability,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010996525
Ensemble prediction methodology based on variations in physical process parameterizations in tropical cyclone track prediction has been assessed. Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting model with 30-km resolution was used to make 5-day simulation of the movement of Orissa super...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010996532