In 1983, Meese and Rogoff showed that traditional economic models developed since the 1970s do not perform better than the random walk in predicting out-of-sample exchange rates when using data obtained after the beginning of the floating rate system. Subsequently, whether traditional economical...

These notes aim at giving a broad skill set to the actuarial profession in insurance pricing and data science. We start from the classical world of generalized linear models, generalized additive models and credibility theory. These methods form the basis of the deeper statistical understanding....

The future is unknown and uncertain, but there are ways to predict future events and reap the rewards safely. One such opportunity is the application of machine learning and artificial intelligence for stock market prediction. The stock market is turbulent, yet using artificial intelligence to...

We present a general supervised machine-learning methodology to represent the payment behavior of financial institutions starting from a database of transactions in the Colombian large-value payment system. The methodology learns a feedforward artificial neural network parameterization to...