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We consider the classical problem of opinion pooling: the probability assignments of different individuals are to be merged into collective probability assignments. While opinion pooling has been explored in some depth in the literature (by statisticians, economists, and philosophers), all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005219998
All existing impossibility theorems on judgment aggregation require individual and collective judgment sets to be consistent and complete (in some recent results with completeness relaxed to deductive closure), arguably a demanding rationality requirement. They do not carry over to aggregation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005220005
We show that, when a group takes independent majority votes on interconnected propositions, the outcome is consistent once the profile of individual judgment sets respects appropriate structural conditions. We introduce several such conditions on profiles, based on ordering the propositions or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005220008
In solving judgment aggregation problems, groups often face constraints. Many decision problems can be modelled in terms the acceptance or rejection of certain propositions in a language, and constraints as propositions that the decisions should be consistent with. For example, court judgments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005220013
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There is a surprising disconnect between formal rational choice theory and philosophical work on reasons. The one is silent on the role of reasons in rational choices, the other rarely engages with the formal models of decision problems used by social scientists. To bridge this gap, we propose a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009421996
Rational choice theory analyzes how an agent can rationally act, given his or her preferences, but says little about where those preferences come from. Instead, pref- erences are usually assumed to be �xed and exogenously given. Building on related work on reasons and rational choice (Dietrich...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009422001
Bayesian epistemology tells us with great precision how we should move from prior to posterior beliefs in light of new evidence or information, but says little about where our prior beliefs come from. It o¤ers few resources to describe some prior beliefs as rational or well-justi�ed, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009422029
According to standard rational choice theory, as commonly used in political science and economics, an agent's fundamental preferences are exogenously fixed, and any preference change over decision options is due to Bayesian information learning. Although elegant and parsimonious, such a model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367615