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In this paper, we suggest and analyze a new class of specification tests for random coefficient models. These tests allow to assess the validity of central structural features of the model, in particular linearity in coefficients and generalizations of this notion like a known nonlinear...
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This paper analyzes the Shot-Noise Jump-Diffusion model of Altmann, Schmidt and Stute (2008), which introduces a new situation where the effects of the arrival of rare, shocking information to the financial markets may fade away in the long run. We analyze several economic implications of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005111009
Following record low interest rates and fast depreciating U.S. dollar, crude oil prices became under rising pressure and seemed boundless. Oil price process parameters changed drastically in 2003M5-2007M10 toward consistently rising prices. Short-term forecasting would imply persistence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825666
There is strong evidence that interest rates and bond yield movements exhibit both stochastic volatility and unanticipated jumps. The presence of frequent jumps makes it natural to ask whether there is a premium for jump risk embedded in observed bond yields. This paper identifies a class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825819
Crude oil prices have been on a run-up spree in recent years. Their dynamics were characterized by high volatility, high intensity jumps, and strong upward drift, indicating that oil markets were constantly out-of-equilibrium. An explanation of the oil price process in terms of the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826574
We propose new measures of both risk and anticipated return that incorporate the effects of skewness and heavy tails from a financial return’s probability distribution. Our cosine-based analysis, which involves maximizing the marginal Shannon information associated with the Fourier transform...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004981465
In this paper we discuss an analytical method in pricing contingent claims of European style on the assets, whose state variables follow a multi-dimensional Levy process. We give explicit formulae for the hypothetical ``two-price'' contingent claim prices by means of the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005134915