In this article we quantify the bullwhip effect (the variance amplification in replenishment orders) when demands and lead times are predicted in a simple two-stage supply chain with one supplier and one retailer. In recent research the impact of stochastic order lead time on the bullwhip effect...

In this paper we consider a jump-diffusion type approximation of the classical risk process by a gamma Levy process. We derive here the asymptotic behavior (lower and upper bounds) of the finite time ruin probability for any gamma Levy process.

In this paper we present a result on convergence of approximate solutions of stochastic differential equations involving integrals with respect to alpha-stable Levy motion. We prove an appropriate weak limit theorem, which does not follow from known results on stability properties of stochastic...

Pickands constants appear in the asymptotic formulas for extremes of Gaussian processes. The explicit formula of Pickands constants does not exist. Moreover, in the literature there is no numerical approximation. In this paper we compute numerically Pickands constants by the use of change of...