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In this article we consider the sample size determination problem in the context of robust Bayesian parameter estimation of the Bernoulli model. Following a robust approach, we consider classes of conjugate Beta prior distributions for the unknown parameter. We assume that inference is robust if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010848090
Over the last 50 years there has been an enormous explosion in developing full distributional analogues of the Kalman filter. In this paper we explore how some of the second-order processes discovered by Kalman have their analogues in Bayesian state space models. Many of the analogues in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008774199
Although an extensive literature has developed on modeling the loss reserve runoff triangle, the estimation of severity distributions applicable to claims settled in specific cells of the runoff triangle has received little attention in the literature. This paper proposes the use of a very...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009444770
There are two main types of data sources of income distributions in China: household survey data and grouped data. Household survey data are typically available for isolated years and individual provinces. In comparison, aggregate or grouped data are typically available more frequently and...
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A recently developed Bayesian interpolation method (BI) and its application to safety assessment of a flood defense structure are described in this paper. We use a one-dimensional Bayesian Monte Carlo method (BMC) that has been proposed in (Rajabalinejad <CitationRef CitationID="CR7">2009</CitationRef>) to develop a weighted logical...</citationref>
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010996378
We develop a general approach to estimation and inference for income distributions using grouped or aggregate data that are typically available in the form of population shares and class mean incomes, with unknown group bounds. Generic moment conditions and an optimal weight matrix that can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010903422
We show how the generalized method of moments (GMM) framework developed in Hajargasht et al. (2012) for estimating income distributions from grouped data can be adapted for estimating mixtures. This approach can be used to estimate a mixture of any distributions where the moments and moment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010903426