We distinguish between three different ways of using real-time data to estimate forecasting equations and argue that the most frequently used approach should generally be avoided. The point is illustrated with a model that uses monthly observations of industrial production, employment, and...

Revision of 80-03

This paper develops a theoretical model that relates the degree of goods-market competition with the extent of profit sharing. The authors multisector framework indicates that increased competition in goods markets leads to an increased weighting on firm profits in an optimally indexed contract....

We introduce elements of state-dependent pricing and strategic complementarity into an otherwise standard New Open Economy Macroeconomics (NOEM) model. Relative to previous NOEM works, there are new implications for the dynamics of real and nominal economic activity: complementarity in the...