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In this paper, we derive optimal hedging strategies for options in electricity futures markets. Optimality is measured in terms of minimal variance and the associated minimal variance hedging portfolios are obtained by a stochastic maximum principle. Our explicit results are particularly useful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232821
Derivatives are playing an increasing role within the trading ecosystem of Bitcoin markets. This includes futures that are traded on US regulated exchanges like the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and unregulated exchanges like Binance. Prior research on which bitcoin markets lead in price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307968
Both large oil price increases and decreases are associated with deteriorating economic conditions. Consistent with this stylized fact, we find that the projection of the state price density (SPD) on oil returns estimated from oil futures and option prices displays a U-shaped pattern. Because...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857335
Investment by oil firms positively affects the futures basis and negatively predicts excess returns on crude oil futures. I build an equilibrium model of drilling, exploration, and storage to understand these facts. Firms' capital stock lowers extraction costs as firms drill in increasingly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936851
For quite some time long-only index funds have been suspected of being responsible for price increases in agricultural futures markets. This suspicion has prompted demands to drastically limit long-only index fundsʼ scope of activity. Such demands and their underlying diagnoses, however,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060167
Options on crude oil futures are the most actively traded commodity options. We develop a class of computationally efficient discrete-time jump models that allow for closed-form option valuation, and we use crude oil futures and options data to investigate the economic importance of jumps and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850215
Since the collapse of the Metallgesellschaft AG due to hedging losses in 1993, energy practitioners have been concerned with the ability to hedge long-dated linear and non-linear oil liabilities with short-dated futures and options. This paper identifies a model-free non-parametric approach to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626875
This short essay on financial speculation with agricultural commodities offers (1) a survey of the real economy factors that caused recent hunger crises, (2) an overview of academic research on the impact of index-based financial speculation on agricultural futures markets, and (3) a discussion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014153259
This paper analyses the intraday co-movements between returns on several commodity markets and on the stock market in the United States over the 1997-2011 period. By exploiting a new high frequency database, we compute various rolling correlations at (i) 1-hour, (ii) 5-minute, (iii) 10-second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066199
This paper investigates the relationship between futures prices and financial investments in derivatives of the main agricultural commodities. We first provide a broad picture of how these markets function and how they have evolved, showing that traders who deal mostly in commodity index...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108352