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asset market bubbles occur in all sessions, but global markets had significantly more extreme and longer duration valuation … bubbles. Additionally, subjects at the most suboptimal times-of-day held significantly more asset shares in their portfolios …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011744696
debt-financed consumption boom supported by rising asset prices, leading to a credit crunch and fluctuations in the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286546
We challenge the recent claim that mispricing in the experimental asset markets introduced by Smith, Suchanek, and Williams (1988) is merely an artefact of confusion over declining fundamental value, and can be eliminated through appropriate training. We instead propose that when training is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010289899
debt-financed consumption boom supported by rising asset prices, leading to a credit crunch and fluctuations in the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003974885
We estimate a dynamic asset pricing model characterized by heterogeneous boundedly rational agents. The fundamental value of the risky asset is publicly available to all agents, but they have different beliefs about the persistence of deviations of stock prices from the fundamental benchmark. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011343265
The booms and busts in U.S. stock prices over the post-war period can to a large extent be explained by fluctuations in investors' subjective capital gains expectations. Survey measures of these expectations display excessive optimism at market peaks and excessive pessimism at market throughs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490485
We analyze a controlled price formation experiment in the laboratory that shows evidence for bubbles. We calibrate two … models that demonstrate with high statistical significance that these laboratory bubbles have a tendency to grow faster than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009560804
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085819
Attempts by governments to stop bubbles by issuing warnings seem unsuccessful. This paper examines the effects of … public warnings using a simple model of riding bubbles. We show that public warnings against a bubble can stop it, if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086740
This paper proposes a new double-question survey method that elicits information about how individuals subjective belief valuations are compared and related to their price expectations. An individual respondent is presented with two sets of questions, one that asks about his/her belief regarding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963776