Magalhães, Pedro C.; Aguiar-Conraria, Luís; … - In: International Journal of Forecasting 28 (2012) 4, pp. 769-776
The behavior of the individual Spanish voter has come to be rather well-understood, thanks to a growing body of literature. However, no models have appeared to explain or forecast national election outcomes. This gap in the research contrasts sharply with the extensive election forecasting work...