Treasury securities normally possess unparalleled safety and liquidity and, consequently, carry a money premium. We use recent debt limit impasses, which temporarily increased the riskiness of Treasuries, to investigate the relationship between the money premium, safety, and liquidity. Our...

We investigate how government borrowing behaviors influence the private sector by exploring the relationship between government debt maturity and the term structure of credit spreads. Using the data of individual corporate bonds between 1972 and 2015, we find that a longer government debt...

We study the debt-stabilizing properties of indexing debt to GDP using a consumption-based macro-finance model. Three results stand out: (i) GDP-linked bond prices would embed sizeable and time-varying risk premiums of about 40 basis points, (ii) for a fixed budget surplus, issuing GDP-linked...

Governments in emerging countries are increasingly issuing bonds in local currencies and foreign holdings of these bonds have been growing significantly. Motivated by these novel facts, we build a model where local (foreign) investors specialize in local (foreign) currency bonds. After paying a...

Illiquidity and default risk are determinants of bond spreads that models suggest vary across market states. The Australian sovereign debt market, where the Australian government provided an explicit guarantee over semi-government debt, provides an environment in which to examine these separate...

We build an enhanced structural credit risk Merton style model for a risky sovereign having both domestic and foreign debt outstanding. If earlier research was mainly focused on the fundamental values of the respective local and foreign currency bonds, here we move forward by elaborating on...

We study central bank interventions in times of severe distress (mid-2010), using a unique bond-level dataset of ECB purchases of Greek sovereign debt. ECB bond buying had a large impact on the price of short and medium maturity bonds, resulting in a remarkable “twist” of the Greek yield...

I study the term structure of credit default swap spreads to understand the dynamics of global and country-specific risk factors in explaining the time-variation in sovereign credit risk. The analysis suggests that the shape of the term structure conveys significant information on the relative...

This paper investigates the role of unconventional monetary policy as a source of time-variation in the relationship between sovereign bond yield spreads and their fundamental determinants. Our results provide evidence of a new bond-pricing regime following the announcement of the Outright...