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Implementation of fiscal consolidation by advanced economies in coming years needs to take into account the short and long-run interactions between economic growth and fiscal policy. Many countries must reduce high public debt to GDP ratios that penalize longterm growth. However, fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102268
This paper assembles a set of relevant fiscal data for both the individual countries and for the aggregate G-7 and 18 industrial countries which covers a period long enough to allow an assessment of trends and the conduct of econometric tests. The quot;worldquot; fiscal deficit has been rising...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781906
We ask whether cuts of government consumption lower or raise the sovereign default premium. To address this question, we set up a new data set for 38 emerging and advanced economies which contains quarterly time-series observations for sovereign default premia, government consumption, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012061613
This paper analyses the link between discretionary fiscal policy and interest-growth differentials (r-g). Panel regressions based on a dataset for 20 advanced countries over the years 1990-2019 reveal no evidence of a systematic linear relationship between fiscal policy and r-g. However, more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382638
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013197463
Given the importance of banking intermediation, we investigate the determinants of the size of bank loans in 18 OECD countries in the period 1981-1997. The aim of the paper is to show that the ratio of government debt to GDP has a negative effect on the level of bank credit. Second, countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160260
The paper analyses the drivers of sovereign risk for 31 advanced and emerging economies during the European sovereign debt crisis. It shows that a deterioration in countries' fundamentals and fundamentals contagion – a sharp rise in the sensitivity of financial markets to fundamentals – are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061742
Long-term interest rates in advanced economies have been low since the global financial crisis. However, in the United States the Federal Reserve could begin to hike its policy rate, the federal funds target rate, before the end of the year. In the United Kingdom, the Bank of England could...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011545312
In this paper, we investigate to what extent sovereign stress and banking stress have contributed to the increase in the level and in the heterogeneity of non-financial firms' financing costs in the Euro area during the European debt crisis and how both have affected the monetary transmission...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011944195
This note examines the stochastic behaviour of US monthly 10-year government bond yields. Specifically, it estimates a fractional integration model suitable to capture both persistence and non-linearities, these being two important properties of interest rates. Two series are analysed, one from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425650