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This paper analyzes empirical market utility functions and pricing kernels derived from the DAX and DAX option data for three market regimes. A consistent parametric framework of stochastic volatility is used. All empirical market utility functions show a region of risk proclivity that is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275864
Market option prices in last 20 years confirmed deviations from the Black and Scholes (BS) models assumptions, especially on the BS implied volatility. Implied binomial trees (IBT) models capture the variations of the implied volatility known as volatility smile. They provide a discrete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275907
In this paper we propose a Libor model with a high-dimensional specially structured system of driving CIR volatility processes. A stable calibration prodecure which takes into account a given local correlation structure is presented. The calibration algorithm is FFT based, so fast and easy to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276591
In this paper we consider the optimal stopping problem for general dynamic monetary utility functionals. Sufficient conditions for the Bellman principle and the existence of optimal stopping times are provided. Particular attention is payed to representations which allow for a numerical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276719
(High dimensional) time series which reveal nonstationary and possibly periodic behavior occur frequently in many fields of science. In this article, we separate the modeling of high dimensional time series to time propagation of low dimensional time series and high dimensional time invariant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281515
Statistische Prognosen basieren auf der Annahme, dass ein funktionaler Zusammenhang zwischen der zu prognostizierenden Variable y und anderen j-dimensional beobachtbaren Variablen x = (x1,...xl) besteht. Kann der funktionale Zusammenhang geschätzt werden, so kann im Prinzip für jedes x der...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281577
This chapter deals with the estimation of risk neutral distributions for pricing index options resulting from the hypothesis of the risk neutral valuation principle. After justifying this hypothesis, we shall focus on parametric estimation methods for the risk neutral density functions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281587
This paper aims to study the extent of integration among developed and emerging stock markets in the onset of globalization through the formulation of a unified conceptual framework that synthesizes the stock valuation model and the convergence hypothesis. Market integration manifests in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318741
This paper investigates to what extent the fundamentals of the real economy are reflected in the stock prices of Japan. A Markov switching VAR model with switching variances is used to test the structural identification scheme. Identification of fundamental and nonfundamental shocks is shown to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318743
Using a Dynamic Semiparametric Factor Model (DSFM) we investigate the term structure of interest rates. The proposed methodology is applied to monthly interest rates for four southern European countries: Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain from the introduction of the Euro to the recent European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318745